For Tsogwane, the election is a defining moment that will test both his political influence and his ability to unite a party still reeling from a historic electoral loss shock. The stakes have never been higher for the BDP. The party, which has long dominated Botswana’s political landscape, recently suffered a major setback at the polls. Many within its ranks attribute the loss to decisions made by the current leadership, with Tsogwane, as chairperson, playing a central role. Now, as he steps forward to contest the BDP presidency, Tsogwane’s leadership credentials and grassroots appeal will be scrutinised as never before. Traditionally, the BDP chairperson is seen as a powerful figure, closely connected to the party’s structures and the heartbeat of its support base. Tsogwane’s bid for the presidency brings these qualities into sharp focus. Yet, he faces formidable challengers - each representing a different vision for the party’s future. Amongst them are Mpho Balopi, the former secretary-general celebrated for his organisational skills and outspoken leadership; Ame Makoba, whose youth and energy embody a call for generational change; and Nonofo Molefhi, a veteran politician with a reputation for steady, experienced leadership.
Tsogwane’s own political journey is marked by both longevity and complexity. He has served as Botswana’s vice president under former president Mokgweetsi Masisi and was the longest-serving Member of Parliament for Boteti West, first elected in 1999. His deep roots in the party and extensive experience are undeniable assets. Notably, he enjoys the endorsement of Masisi - a factor that, in previous years, might have been a decisive advantage. However, the political winds have shifted. Masisi’s influence within the BDP has waned following the party’s recent loss of national power, and his support may now be as much a liability than a benefit. Many BDP members are openly frustrated with the leadership that presided over the defeat, and Tsogwane, as a key architect of the party’s recent direction, finds himself at the centre of this discontent. For years, Tsogwane was widely regarded as Masisi’s natural successor, expected to lead the party into the next era. But the electoral setback has cast a shadow over this anticipated succession. Disillusionment runs deep among the party’s grassroots, with some members openly blaming Tsogwane and his colleagues for the loss.
