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Could interest rates be raised for the first time in 14 years?

Decision time: Pelaelo will present the Monetary Policy Statement soon PIC: THALEFANG CHARLES
Decision time: Pelaelo will present the Monetary Policy Statement soon PIC: THALEFANG CHARLES

Expectations that inflation will rise above 10% in the next few months, could see the Bank of Botswana increasing interest rates for the first time in more than 10 years, a move that would make loan repayments more expensive. Staff Writer, MBONGENI MGUNI reports

Local asset management firm, African Alliance, believes interest rates could rise by as much as 100 basis points this year, the equivalent of one percentage point, a major jump particularly given that the central bank has been lowering interest rates gradually since as far back as 2008.

“Our house view is for 50bps to 100bps in rate increases this year and this is informed by the BoB’s December Monetary Policy Report where the bank indicated that it expects inflation to average 10.4% in the first quarter of 2022, which will likely force the bank’s hand,” says Nlume Modise, chief investment officer at African Alliance Asset Management.

Editor's Comment
Don't let FMD outbreak drag on

Acting Agriculture Minister, Edwin Dikoloti, is right in saying opening an export-ready facility whilst Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) is still spreading would risk getting the whole country blacklisted before a single carcass leaves the door.A ban like that would break the already stressed nation. So, the postponement, painful as it is, is the right thing to do. The local economy is being squeezed from both ends. FMD has already slammed the door...

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