Mmegi

Lowering of the inflation target could damage SA’s growth prospects

Weighing options: SARB governor, Lesetja Kganyago PIC: PUXLEY MAKGATHO
Weighing options: SARB governor, Lesetja Kganyago PIC: PUXLEY MAKGATHO

The South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) recent push to lower the country’s inflation target has sparked an important debate about South Africa’s economic future. While the proposal may appear sound on the surface, a deeper analysis reveals that lowering the inflation target could damage the country’s fiscal health and economic growth prospects, particularly when our economy remains vulnerable.

The Bank’s argument is straightforward: First, they contend that South Africa’s relatively high inflation is merely a policy choice, not an inevitable feature of our economy. To support this, they point to Chile, which adopted inflation targeting in 2000 (the same year as South Africa), but chose a lower three percent target and achieved better price stability.

Second, they argue that the evidence of the post-Covid inflation spike is that people strongly dislike inflation and would prefer price stability.

Editor's Comment
Two-tier education system demands action

Whilst we join Botswana Sectors of Educators Trade Union (BOSETU) and other stakeholders in commending the rise in top grades, a testament to the unwavering effort of many teachers and pupils, this progress is fundamentally shadowed by a failing that shames our society. The stark, persistent urban-rural divide is not just a statistic, but an active betrayal of thousands of young Batswana.The figures are a damning indictment. When pass rates in...

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