Inflation could fall even further
Wednesday, November 20, 2019
Inflation could fall even further
Inflation, or the rate of increase in prices, fell to what most data sets suggests is an all-time low of 2.4 percent in October, helped by low imported inflation, restrained demand in the economy and stable administered prices.
The Bank of Botswana (BoB) said in the absence of a fuel price increase in the remainder of 2019, the base effects stemming from the increase in fuel prices in the last quarter of 2018 will contribute to inflation trending even lower in the short term. Base effects are distortions in monthly inflation resulting from abnormally high or low levels of inflation in the corresponding month a year before.
Whilst celebrating milestones in inclusivity, with notably P5 billion awarded to vulnerable groups, the report sounds a 'siren' on a dangerous and growing trend: the ballooning use of micro-procurement. That this method, designed for small-scale, efficient purchases, now accounts for a staggering 25% (P8 billion) of total procurement value is not a sign of agility, but a 'red flag'. The PPRA’s warning is unequivocal and must be...