Analysts cast down NDP11 growth forecasts

Stanbic Bank
Stanbic Bank

The average 4.4 percent economic growth projected for the six-year National Development Plan (NDP11) might be too optimistic and could lead to even lower revenue collections in the period, analysts at Standard Bank Group believe.

In a economic review report titled Africa Markets Revealed, the economic experts say they see Botswana’s economy growing by no more than four percent during NDP11, while revenues will likely come lower than the estimates leading to either increased borrowings or a rise in drawing down on savings.

“Compared to a realised average growth rate of 5.3 percent under the 2010-2016 growth plan (NDP10), when the economy was still relatively buoyant, we are not that optimistic on the growth outlook for the next six years, and see GDP growth averaging no more than four percent year on year, with downside risks.

Editor's Comment
Gov't must guard against cadre deployment

As the Botswana National Front (BNF) discusses a policy to place suitably qualified members in strategic positions, the guiding consideration should remain whether an individual is the best person to serve the country. There is nothing wrong with qualified party members applying for public positions. Political affiliation should neither disqualify a capable candidate nor give them an advantage over others. Every Motswana deserves a fair...

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