Mmegi

Inside the Sahel war economy

Ten months into al-Qaeda’s blockade of Bamako, the fuel still arrives. Since JNIM’s spokesman announced the campaign on September 3, 2025, the group has destroyed more than 300 tankers on the highways from Senegal, Ivory Coast and Guinea that carry 95% of Mali’s imported fuel.

Yet by July 2026, over 1,000 tankers had reached the capital anyway, escorted by Russia’s Africa Corps and, increasingly, Turkish drones. Petrol that cost $25 a litre before September now costs $130. Somewhere between “blockade” and “a thousand tankers delivered under fire” is the real story: this was never a siege built to starve a capital. It is a toll booth, and the jihadists manning the checkpoints and the junta managing the convoys are both taking a cut of the same barrels.

France’s Operation Barkhane, which had at least contested jihadist freedom of movement on the highways, finished withdrawing from Mali in August 2022 and from Niger by the end of 2023. The United States shut its last base in the region, the drone facility at Agadez, in September 2024.

Editor's Comment
Diplomatic relations must be on equal footing

“Let us never negotiate out of fear.But let us never fear to negotiate”– John F. KennedySupport for healthcare, education, skills and infrastructure can improve lives. The reaffirmed commitment to the Mmopane–Block 8 road is welcome for the prospect of better transport links for surrounding communities.China has shown willingness to assist Botswana, and government deserves credit for securing these commitments. However, the success of our...

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