Mmegi

Recession fears loom as diamonds squeeze economy to Q1 slump

Ear to the ground: Finance Minister, Peggy Serame, will be monitoring trends and forecasts within and outside the country to see where the economy will land this year PIC: KENNEDY RAMOKONE
Ear to the ground: Finance Minister, Peggy Serame, will be monitoring trends and forecasts within and outside the country to see where the economy will land this year PIC: KENNEDY RAMOKONE

The local economy contracted by 5.3 percent in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the same quarter in 2023, sparking concerns that the protracted diamond slump could develop into a recession.

A recession is economically defined as a sustained period of weak or negative growth in real GDP (output) that is accompanied by a significant rise in the unemployment rate. The most common definition of recession used in the media is a ‘technical recession’ in which there have been two consecutive quarters of negative growth in real GDP.

Should the current economic slowdown deteriorate into a recession, it would be the first since 2020 and a knock to the country’s ambitions of reaching high-income status by 2036.

Editor's Comment
Micro-procurement maze demands urgent reform

Whilst celebrating milestones in inclusivity, with notably P5 billion awarded to vulnerable groups, the report sounds a 'siren' on a dangerous and growing trend: the ballooning use of micro-procurement. That this method, designed for small-scale, efficient purchases, now accounts for a staggering 25% (P8 billion) of total procurement value is not a sign of agility, but a 'red flag'. The PPRA’s warning is unequivocal and must be...

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