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Ominous signs as inflation expectations rise

Choppy seas ahead: Inflation is at a 14-year high and firms expect prices to stay higher this year PICS: PHATSIMO KAPENG
Choppy seas ahead: Inflation is at a 14-year high and firms expect prices to stay higher this year PICS: PHATSIMO KAPENG

The hikes in interest rates made by the Bank of Botswana (BoB) earlier this year have apparently failed to cool inflation expectations in the economy, as local firms now expect general prices to rise by an average 8.5 percent this year, from an initial forecast of 8.3 percent.

The latest revelations are contained in the BoB’s Business Expectations Survey (BES) released this week which samples the opinions of a cross-section of firms about the business environment from the second quarter of the year and beyond.

In raising interest rates by 101 basis points in April and June, the BoB said the adjustments were needed to manage inflation expectations in the economy, noting the first quarter BES had shown worrying expectations among local firms.

Editor's Comment
Micro-procurement maze demands urgent reform

Whilst celebrating milestones in inclusivity, with notably P5 billion awarded to vulnerable groups, the report sounds a 'siren' on a dangerous and growing trend: the ballooning use of micro-procurement. That this method, designed for small-scale, efficient purchases, now accounts for a staggering 25% (P8 billion) of total procurement value is not a sign of agility, but a 'red flag'. The PPRA’s warning is unequivocal and must be...

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