Botswana faces �middle income trap�
Friday, January 16, 2015
Real Per Capita GDP Relative to Middle Income Trap line
From high growth rates averaging over eight percent in the past decades that were responsible for the country’s quick rise from a least developed country to an upper middle-income economy, economic growth measured by real GDP has stabilised at around four percent in recent years.
According to the IMF researchers Lamin Leigh and Marshall Mills, many middle income countries (MICs) including Botswana, have experienced a slowdown in trend growth in the last decade with recent research showing that most of the growth moderation can be explained largely by slowdowns in productivity growth.
Whilst celebrating milestones in inclusivity, with notably P5 billion awarded to vulnerable groups, the report sounds a 'siren' on a dangerous and growing trend: the ballooning use of micro-procurement. That this method, designed for small-scale, efficient purchases, now accounts for a staggering 25% (P8 billion) of total procurement value is not a sign of agility, but a 'red flag'. The PPRA’s warning is unequivocal and must be...