The economy rebounded strongly after the 2020 COVID-19 shock, recording 11.8 percent growth in 2021-22 and a higher than expected 6.7 percent for 2022-23. However, the continued recovery is threatened by the possibility of a slowdown in the global economy, a fact acknowledged by the Finance Ministry which expects the key mining sector to shrink by 0.1 percent in the 2023.
Growth in 2023-24 is forecast at four percent, before rising to 5.1 percent in 2024-25. Both figures are below the 5.7 percent level required to reach high income status by 2036.
