Who wins in 2019, BDP or UDC?

Prior to BMD stone-throwing battle scenario in Bobonong in July, there was a near consensus that come 2019 the ruling BDP will bite the dust and UDC will take over the reins of power.

After the slings and stone ballistic missiles, the feud within the BMD, not an insignificant part of the UDC, the pendulum seems to have swung dramatically in favour of the BDP. Can the old political geezer maintain the winning streak of the past 11 general elections? Arguably the emergence of a breakaway new party by the name of Alliance for Progressives (AP) has virtually signed the death warrant in regard to the UDC expected victory. Speculation is whether AP will affiliate into the UDC or not. Assuming it affiliates, then the opposition coalition will remain intact, except that it may do so under unnecessary friction that may impact on opposition strength. Domkrag whether advantaged by the instability of its rival(s), won’t be in a position to gain from the situation. After 50-plus years of doing the same job, very few creatures have the capacity to innovate and do things differently. Once routine sets in and takes control of one’s way of behaving, it becomes nigh impossible to renovate your circumstances or innovate your programmes. One becomes dull, boring and unattractive.  Domkrag has virtually passed its sell-by date; it can renew itself or attract new support. One also doubts that change of leadership from Lieutenant General Dr Seretse Khama Ian Khama to His Honour Mokgweetsi Masisi, can do the trick of making the BDP a magnet to fresh and new support. Sisiboy has been instrumental in depleting membership strength of the opposition, particularly the BCP. These defectors to my knowledge weren’t attracted by HH personality; generally these defectors were undisciplined elements in their party(ies) or were seduced by bribes. A  defector informed ME, that he/she pocketed P1,000 for his/her crossover to the BDP. It’s unbelievable! But readers better believe it, because it happens, and I have heard it with my own two ears! We’ve also heard, seen and read how the man vanquished his opponent(s) in the BDP contest for BDP chairmanship. Remember Camp Dubai? We hear HH is popular amongst businesspeople and this group will empty their coffers to sponsor our president-in-waiting! The million-pula question, however, is whether HH can over 50% of the constituencies, all the time? There is a limit to things and processes!

What has sustained the BDP in power is of course our pre-democracy, traditional society with its lore and ignorance. Today, we have a new generation which refuses to underwrite the old traditional habits. It knows what’s relevant and appropriate for their lives. They are influenced by technology and international peers, and cannot be taken for granted. What will be the impact of the new party on the scene? The AP hopefully will emerge with better ideology, policy and programmes, otherwise why congest an already crowded field?

Editor's Comment
Congratulations Anicia Gaothuse!

The contest had 10 beautiful young girls as finalists and unfortunately only one could wear the crown.The judges picked Anicia Gaothuse. To all those who feel their contestant should have won ahead of Anicia for whatever reason, hardly; the judges found Anicia to be the best among the best, so desist from disrespecting our newly crowned queen on social media or anywhere else, for that matter! Each of the 10 beautiful young women had supporters...

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